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Current Win Probability
Dinamo Brest 48.1%
Draw 28.6%
Torpedo-BelAZ 23.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
29.5%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
29.8%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Brest than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Brest that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Dinamo Brest - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Belov M. (G) 22. Pavlovets A. 55. Lavrik A. 15. Dziov M. 99. Zenkov I. 77. Yuzepchuk R. 42. Burak N. 44. Butarevich A. 11. Levitskiy D. 25. Lozhkin V. 24. Kortsov E. (C)
1. Ignatovich S. (G) 3. Chagovets Y. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 88. Mikhayrin M. 30. Pobudey V. 7. Bykov A. 2. Bamba M. 68. Zhulpa D. 20. Martyanov G. 8. Budko M. 89. Frantsuzov A.
Substitutes
20. Bondarenko M. 19. Grechikho D. 17. Gritskevich R. 6. Khralenkov E. 88. Kovalevich D. 35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 2. Rylach A.
16. Agbo G. 22. Baranok Z. 9. Batyshchev O. 27. Gaevoy M. 21. Kiselev V. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 96. Melko V. 90. Perovic N. 25. Yurasov T. (G) 13. Zaleskiy A.
Coaches
Sednev A.
Lentsevich D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Bykov A. ⚽, Budko M. (A),
39', Budko M. ↓, Kiselev V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Mikhayrin M. 🟨,
60', Lavrik A. 🟨,
61', Levitskiy D. ↓, Rylach A. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Zhulpa D. ⚽, Pobudey V. (A),
70', Burak N. ↓, Kovalevich D. ↑,
77', Lozhkin V. ↓, Gritskevich R. ↑,
77', Zenkov I. ↓, Grechikho D. ↑,
86', Bamba M. 🟨,
86', Bykov A. ↓, Baranok Z. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Brest won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Brest won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Dinamo Brest won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.8:1).