The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ML Vitebsk 53.9%
Draw 28.2%
Dinamo Brest 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46%
26.9%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
26.2%
26.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ML Vitebsk's performance.
Dinamo Brest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo Brest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Brest than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo Brest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
ML Vitebsk - Dinamo Brest Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 15. Bocherov V. 79. Diabate B. 21. Glushkov N. 6. Gomanov K. 55. Gromyko V. 80. Kontsevoy A. 14. Lisakovich R. 45. Moskalenchik I. 20. Volkov Z.
35. Malashchitskiy I. (G) 7. Bakic D. 44. Butarevich A. 19. Grechikho D. 24. Kortsov E. (C) 55. Lavrik A. 11. Levitskiy D. 22. Pavlovets A. 18. Stepanov N. 77. Yuzepchuk R. 99. Zenkov I.
Substitutes
4. Abdullahi O. 3. Baranok N. 99. Bulanov M. 17. Galyata D. 7. Ivanov T. 27. Mesarovic A. 11. Nicholson S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 22. Skibskiy Y. 18. Zhuk V.
42. Burak N. 15. Dziov M. 36. Guilherme Guedes 6. Khralenkov E. 88. Kovalevich D. 8. Lomakin A. 25. Lozhkin V. 2. Rylach A.
Coaches
Martinovich M.
Sednev A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Gromyko V. 🟨,
22', Grechikho D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Bakic D. ↓, Kovalevich D. ↑,
67', Balanovich S. ↓, Skibskiy Y. ↑,
72', Grechikho D. ↓, Lomakin A. ↑,
73', Kortsov E. ↓, Lozhkin V. ↑,
76', Gromyko V. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
83', Glushkov N. ↓, Ivanov T. ↑,
83', Kontsevoy A. ↓, Mesarovic A. ↑,
86', Yuzepchuk R. ↓, Guilherme Guedes ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 8).
ML Vitebsk is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Dinamo Brest has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
ML Vitebsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, ML Vitebsk is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ML Vitebsk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, ML Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Watch
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Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 
Diabate B. 
Glushkov N. 
Bakic D. 
Abdullahi O. 
Mesarovic A. 
Nicholson S. 
Guilherme Guedes 
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