Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion (Mezőkövesdi)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Dinamo Minsk		Ludogorets Razgrad

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.75	Watch
	4.8	3.8	1.66	Watch
	4.45	3.55	1.72	Watch
	4.23	3.68	1.77
				Watch
	4.8	3.7	1.67
	4.76	3.79	1.76	Watch
	4.1	3.6	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.45 ↑ (4.3)	3.7 ↓ (3.74)	1.72 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
20.9%

Draw
25.1%

Ludogorets Razgrad
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

24.8%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.5%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Dinamo Minsk aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.9%	13.9%	72.2%

Dinamo Minsk - Ludogorets Razgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). Ludogorets will win (votes: 24 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ludogorets: 57.5% – 87.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Minsk (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Ludogorets (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Ludogorets (2.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dinamo Minsk (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Minsk (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Ludogorets (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Shpakovskiy D. (G) 2. Pigas V. 67. Begunov R. (C) 4. Gavrilovich A. 33. Ibrahim F. 19. Podstrelov D. 6. Myakish M. 26. Kalinin V. 17. Bakhar I. 11. Djimet M. 9. Bakic D.	1. Padt S. (G) 17. Son 15. Kurtulus E. 24. Verdon O. 3. Nedyalkov A. (C) 26. Kaloc F. 30. Pedro Naressi 6. Piotrowski J. 77. Erick Marcus 37. Tekpetey B. 11. Caio Vidal
Substitutes
42. Abdullahi F. 5. Apetenok P. 88. Demchenko N. 3. Kalachev I. 7. Malashevich E. 25. Pedro Igor 21. Shevchenko E. 13. Shimakovich I. (G) 16. Silinskiy D. 99. Tsepenkov K. 24. Vakulich A. 10. Vardanyan K.	2. Andersson J. 29. Bile E. 39. Bonmann H. (G) 18. Chochev I. 23. Duarte D. 73. Gigov F. 67. Hristov D. (G) 99. Ivanov S. 25. Rodriguez E. 42. Shishkov S. 80. Stefanov M.
Coaches
Skripchenko V.	Mota R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Erick Marcus ⚽, Kurtulus E. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bakhar I. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Djimet M. ⚽, Podstrelov D. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Pedro Igor ⚽, Djimet M. (A),
65', Podstrelov D. 🟨,
68', Djimet M. ↓, Vardanyan K. ↑,
68', Podstrelov D. ↓, Malashevich E. ↑,
76', Pedro Naressi ↓, Chochev I. ↑,
76', Erick Marcus ↓, Bile E. ↑,
83', Tekpetey B. ↓, Ivanov S. ↑,
85', Mota R. 🟨,
86', Piotrowski J. 🟨,
90', Nedyalkov A. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
90+1', Myakish M. ↓, Abdullahi F. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
97', Erick Marcus 🟨,
100', 2 - 2, Bile E. ⚽,
102', Malashevich E. ↓, Shevchenko E. ↑,
106', Padt S. ↓, Bonmann H. ↑,
106', Caio Vidal ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
106', Verdon O. 🟨,
112', Kalinin V. ↓, Demchenko N. ↑,
112', Begunov R. 🟨,
118', Demchenko N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Mezokovesdi Varosi Stadion.

Recent form of Dinamo Minsk has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ludogorets has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ludogorets may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ludogorets has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ludogorets is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Minsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Dinamo Minsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dinamo Minsk
UEFA Champions League
09.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.07.25	ML Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:0 ✺
28.06.25	Dinamo Minsk - Dinamo Brest	5:0 ✺
22.06.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
18.06.25	Dinamo Minsk - Neman Grodno	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Ludogorets Razgrad
UEFA Champions League
09.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Hradec Králové	0:2 ✺
30.06.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
25.06.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Legia Warsaw	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Slavia Prague	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
09.07.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Minsk	1:0
31.07.24	Dinamo Minsk - Ludogorets Razgrad	1:0
24.07.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Dinamo Minsk	2:0

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