The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 10.3%
Draw 21%
Dinamo Minsk 68.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.7%
22.1%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.2%
21.5%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's form might have worsened.
Dinamo Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dinamo Minsk's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dinamo Minsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dinamo Minsk Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dinamo Minsk will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sanko I. (G) 2. Bozhko E. 11. Lovets Y. (C) 18. Volskiy D. 7. Mokin M. 23. Polyakov D. 9. Vasin I. 26. Tkachenko V. 95. Vorobyov I. 46. Vasilyev V. 31. Zaleskiy A.
16. Kozakevich M. (G) 3. Shvetsov M. 67. Begunov R. (C) 26. Kalinin V. 25. Toure A. 78. Sokolovskiy A. 8. Selyava A. 23. Zhechko A. 7. Malashevich E. 10. Vardanyan K. 11. Alykulov G.
Substitutes
4. Akunets E. 90. Antilevskiy D. 33. Gorbachik V. 8. Kaplenko N. 41. Lutik D. 34. Martinovich D. (G) 13. Oreshkevich I. 10. Sazonchik S. 30. Soroko A. (G)
30. Djimet M. 2. Dubatovka M. 80. Gweth L. 12. Ivanov A. 33. Karpovich S. 22. Molchan E. 19. Podstrelov D. 1. Shimakovich I. (G) 99. Tsepenkov K. 24. Vakulich A.
Coaches
Voronkov I.
Shagoyko A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Sazonchik S. 🟨,
68', Sokolovskiy A. ↓, Tsepenkov K. ↑,
68', Alykulov G. ↓, Djimet M. ↑,
72', Vasin I. 🟨,
72', Vorobyov I. ↓, Antilevskiy D. ↑,
72', Bozhko E. ↓, Lutik D. ↑,
73', Tkachenko V. ↓, Oreshkevich I. ↑,
73', Malashevich E. ↓, Molchan E. ↑,
73', Shvetsov M. ↓, Karpovich S. ↑,
85', Zhechko A. ↓, Gweth L. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Zaleskiy A. (Own goal),
88', Vasin I. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
90+1', Zaleskiy A. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Dinamo Minsk has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Dinamo Minsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Dinamo Minsk is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).