Match Info

Jia League - Round 6

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Dingnan United		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	2.95	3.5
	1.95	3.1	5.58
	1.89	2.99	4.98	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.5
	1.92	3.24	4.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.1)	3.04 ↑ (2.67)	4.35 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
47.5%

Draw
30.9%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

34.4%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

33.9%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Dingnan United - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Dingnan United will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Guangxi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dingnan United (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 34. Ependi Nizamdin 3. Zhang Tianlong 28. Shao Shuai 19. Li Suda 29. Xu Jiajun 20. Tiago Fernandes 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 18. Fan Bojian 10. Tang Shi 11. Erikys	22. He Lipan (G) 20. Jiang Zhengjie 28. Chen Shaohao 5. Yao Diran 6. Ge Hailun 7. Zhang Ran 33. Ding Quancheng 10. Asamoah S. 8. Hu Jiajin 17. Yang Jingfan 9. Mateus
Substitutes
27. Ge Yifan (G) 22. He Shaolin 25. Li Boyang 9. Ma Chenghao 14. Ren Wei 45. Wei Zixian 15. Yang Fan 33. Yan Jiahao 17. Ye Daoxin 7. Zhang Jiansheng 8. Zhang Zimin 16. Zhou Pinxi	25. Chen Shihao 29. Fu Shang 23. Han Zhen (G) 45. Huang Wei 24. Jin Jian 11. Liu Hao 39. Lu Chenghe 30. Wang Lingke 18. Yang Hang 14. Yao Younan 3. Zhang Hui 31. Zhang Song
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Zhou Lin

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Mateus ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Asamoah S. (Pen),
21', Ge Hailun 🟨,
37', Zhang Ran 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Xu Jiajun ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
55', Tiago Fernandes ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
55', Fan Bojian ↓, Li Boyang ↑,
58', Ding Quancheng ↓, Zhang Hui ↑,
65', Hu Jiajin ↓, Yao Younan ↑,
65', Jiang Zhengjie ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
69', 1 - 2, Erikys ⚽, Tang Shi (A),
72', Li Boyang 🟨,
78', Yao Diran 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Tang Shi ⚽,
83', Ge Hailun ↓, Jin Jian ↑,
83', Yang Jingfan ↓, Huang Wei ↑,
85', Erikys ↓, Ren Wei ↑,
90+6', Asamoah S. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Recent matches Dingnan United is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guangxi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dingnan United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dingnan United is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.04.25	Shanghai Segenda - Dingnan United	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Dingnan United - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Dingnan United - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWTL
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
23.04.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.04.25	Nantong Haimen Codion - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:1 ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nanjing City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTL

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