Match Info

League One - Round 22

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Weinan Sports Center Stadium (Weinan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shaanxi Union		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.31	5.00	7.00
	1.43	4.40	5.75	Watch
	1.31	5.67	9.69
	1.46	4.47	6.3	Watch
	1.26	5.60	9.55
	1.33	5.02	8.45	Watch
	1.32	4.90	7.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.6)	5.01 ↑ (3.75)	7.71 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
69.3%

Draw
18.6%

Dingnan United
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

23.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Union's performance.

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dingnan United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaanxi Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dingnan United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. He Lipan (G) 23. Jin W. 5. Ma Sheng 25. Cao Kang 29. Mi Haolun (C) 19. Irandust D. 21. Wang Shijie 42. Wei Zhiwei 10. El Azrak R. 9. Selmani A. 17. Feng Boyuan	31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 2. Zhang Yujie 23. Du Junpeng 4. Daciel 3. Zhu Mingxin 16. Li Zhi 22. Gao S. 21. Hu Jiajin 6. Zhu Jiaxuan (C) 19. Han Yuchen 7. Palacios M.
Substitutes
27. Jiang Wenhao 30. Leng Jixuan 31. Luan Yi (G) 20. Ma H. W. 33. Tan Kaiyuan 6. Tursunali Nureli 38. Wang Jia'nan 2. Wen Junjie 40. Yang S. 36. Yan Yu 16. Zhao Shi (G) 7. Zhong Wen	28. Cheng Yetong 17. Chen Po-Liang 18. Fan Bojian 34. Hao Yucheng 37. Petrov M. 10. Tang Shi 45. Yang B. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 8. Zhang Zimin
Coaches
Chen Tao	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Zhang Yujie ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
40', Selmani A. ↓, Zhong Wen ↑,
45+1', Zhao Shi 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ma Sheng ↓, Yang S. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Irandust D. ⚽, Feng Boyuan (A),
60', Palacios M. 🟨,
63', Li Zhi ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
63', Han Yuchen ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
67', Wang Shijie ↓, Tan Kaiyuan ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Zhong Wen ⚽,
67', Mi Haolun ↓, Jiang Wenhao ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Tang Shi ⚽,
78', Gao S. ↓, Fan Bojian ↑,
85', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Wen Junjie ↑,
90+5', Hu Jiajin ↓, Chen Po-Liang ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).

Shaanxi Union has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dingnan United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Shaanxi Union is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shaanxi Union won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Shaanxi Union won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shaanxi Union	25	11	6	8	42:27	15	39
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
29.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Union	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLT
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
29.08.26	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:4 ✺
22.08.26	Dingnan United - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Nanjing City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Dingnan United - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Dingnan United	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
02.05.26	Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union	1:1
20.07.25	Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union	2:0
30.03.25	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	3:1

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