Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center (Foshan)


	Foshan Nanshi		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.5
	3	2.98	2.25	Watch
	3.18	3.18	2.31
	3.16	3.13	2.31	Watch
	3	2.88	2.25
	3.07	3	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.51)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.32 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foshan Nanshi
30.4%

Draw
30.2%

Dingnan United
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.7%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

30.6%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Foshan Nanshi's form might have worsened.

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dingnan United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Foshan Nanshi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dingnan United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Shi Xiaton (G) 30. Huang Chuqi 23. Wen Junjie 19. Liu H. 15. Benavides N. 8. Gabriel Bispo 13. Zhang Xingbo (C) 28. Yin B. 45. Zhou Dadi 44. Antwi R. 11. Ndiaye M.	1. Du Jia (G) 28. Cheng Yetong 27. Wang Sihan 4. Daciel 34. Hao Yucheng 8. Zhang Zimin 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 10. Tang Shi (C) 37. Petrov M. 11. Erikys 7. Palacios M.
Substitutes
9. Chang Feiya 6. Chen Guokang 26. Ge Yifan (G) 18. Han Kunda 5. Jin Liangkuan 39. Li Bowen 16. Li Ruiyue 12. Liu Zongyuan 17. Li Yizhuo 7. Mu Zihan 2. Qian Yumiao 31. Yao Hui	18. Fan Bojian 25. Gao J. 19. Han Yuchen 20. Jiang Yixiang 9. Ma Chenghao 30. Ren Zening 15. Wu Mingyu 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao
Coaches
Zhang Chiming	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Benavides N. ⚽, Zhou Dadi (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zhang Zimin ↓, Ma Chenghao ↑,
46', Huang Chuqi ↓, Qian Yumiao ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Petrov M. ⚽, Daciel (A),
62', Hao Yucheng ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
63', Yin B. ↓, Han Kunda ↑,
64', Tang Shi 🟨,
70', Petrov M. ↓, Han Yuchen ↑,
81', Cheng Yetong ↓, Wu Mingyu ↑,
85', Benavides N. ↓, Chang Feiya ↑,
90+3', Chang Feiya 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Dingnan United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Foshan Nanshi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24
16	Foshan Nanshi	25	3	7	15	25:49	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese FA Cup
15.05.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Foshan Nanshi	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Dalian Kun City - Foshan Nanshi	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Foshan Nanshi	0:3 ✺
18.04.26	Foshan Nanshi - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LTTWL
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.26	Shanghai Zetian - Dingnan United	4:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
09.05.26	Dingnan United - Changchun Yatai	2:3 ✺
02.05.26	Dingnan United - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.08.25	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	3:0
23.04.25	Foshan Nanshi - Dingnan United	0:0

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