Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Diocesano		Jaraíz

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.1	2.45
	2.61	3.22	2.54
	1.59	4.46	4.38	Watch
	2.58	3.1	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.5)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	2.96 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diocesano
40.6%

Draw
27.4%

Jaraíz
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

27.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Jaraíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Diocesano - Jaraíz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Koke ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Koke ⚽,
25', 2 - 1, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 2 - 2, Ramos Moreno A. (Pen),
59', 2 - 3, Ramos Moreno A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Diocesano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jaraíz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Diocesano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.11.25	Montehermoso - Diocesano	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Diocesano - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Diocesano - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Badajoz - Diocesano	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Diocesano - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLW
- CF Jaraíz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
02.11.25	Jaraíz - Villafranca	4:1 ✺
26.10.25	Don Benito - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Jaraíz - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Azuaga - Jaraíz	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Jaraíz - Gévora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
20.04.25	Diocesano - Jaraíz	1:2
08.12.24	Jaraíz - Diocesano	3:0
17.12.23	Jaraíz - Diocesano	2:1

Diocesano - Jaraíz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide