Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 18

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday


	Diocesano		Trujillo

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.8	8
	1.31	4.9	7.4
	1.27	4.95	9.15
	1.31	4.9	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	4.89 ↑ (4.7)	7.99 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Diocesano
70.1%

Draw
18.6%

Trujillo
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.2%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

11.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diocesano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Trujillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-29.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diocesano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trujillo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Diocesano - Trujillo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Aaron ⚽,
6', 1 - 1, Angelito ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, Mena I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 4.

Diocesano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trujillo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Trujillo have a series of guest games.

In this match Diocesano is certain favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Diocesano won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:8 (average 2.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Diocesano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.01.25	Diocesano - Pueblonuevo	6:1 ✺
22.12.24	Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Diocesano - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Jaraíz - Diocesano	3:0 ✺
01.12.24	Diocesano - Arroyo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLT
- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
12.01.25	Azuaga - Trujillo	3:0 ✺
15.12.24	Badajoz - Trujillo	4:0 ✺
07.12.24	Pueblonuevo - Trujillo	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Trujillo - Puebla de la Calzada	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	CD Extremadura - Trujillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.09.24	Trujillo - Diocesano	1:4
21.04.24	Trujillo - Diocesano	0:1
03.12.23	Diocesano - Trujillo	1:2
03.04.22	Diocesano - Trujillo	3:1
28.11.21	Trujillo - Diocesano	1:3
28.02.21	Diocesano - Trujillo	5:2
05.12.20	Trujillo - Diocesano	0:0

Diocesano - Trujillo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide