Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Puebla de la Calzada |
|
Diocesano |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
3.2 |
3 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.31 |
3.33 |
|
 |
2.09 |
3.24 |
3.19 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↓
(2.16) |
3.25 ↑
(3.23) |
3.17 ↑
(3.06) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Puebla de la Calzada
43.4% | Draw
27.9% | Diocesano
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)Puebla de la Calzada - Diocesano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).Both teams have been playing unpredictably. Puebla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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