Match Info

Stars League - Round 12

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday


	Diyala		Al-Zawraa

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.1	1.9
	3.95	3.26	1.88	Watch
	3.9	2.9	1.91
	3.89	3.13	1.91	Watch
	4.2	3	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.76)	3.08 ↓ (3.31)	1.89 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diyala
22.9%

Draw
29.3%

Al-Zawraa
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.7%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Al-Zawraa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (+1%)

Diyala - Al Zawraa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
80', 0 - 1, Abdulkareem H. (Penalty Awarded),
81', 1 - 1, Salhi T. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Al-Zawraa is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Diyala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Al Zawraa	8	5	3	0	15:3	12	18
10	Diyala	8	2	3	3	13:14	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Zawraa - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.96%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diyala SC
Iraqi Premier League
09.01.26	Al-Naft - Diyala	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Naft Maysan - Diyala	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Diyala - Al-Qasim	3:0 ✺
22.12.25	Diyala - Arbil	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Al-Kahraba - Diyala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWTW
- Al-Zawraa
Iraqi Premier League
09.01.26	Naft Maysan - Al-Zawraa	2:2 ✺
05.01.26	Al-Zawraa - Al-Gharraf	0:0 ✺
01.01.26	Al-Kahraba - Al-Zawraa	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Al-Zawraa - Al-Minaa	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Zawraa	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
08.05.25	Al-Zawraa - Diyala	1:0
23.01.25	Diyala - Al-Zawraa	1:1

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