The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Al-Naft 45.7%
Draw 29.6%
Diyala 24.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.2%
30.3%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
29.2%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
Diyala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diyala than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Al Naft - Diyala Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Kareem W. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 0, Opare C. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th and 10th).
Al-Naft is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Diyala have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, Al-Naft has faced a series of away games on the road.
Al-Naft is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Al-Naft has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Al-Naft against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
Iraq
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