Match Info

TUNISIA: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 10

Date: 4 January 2023, Wednesday


	Djerba		EGS Gafsa

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.2	1.6
	5	3.2	1.62
	5.05	3.31	1.65
	6	3.1	1.57
	5.6	3.34	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (2.6)	3.23 ↑ (2.9)	1.61 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djerba
16.5%

Draw
27.8%

EGS Gafsa
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

32.5%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djerba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Djerba's form might have worsened.

EGS Gafsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting EGS Gafsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djerba than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Djerba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EGS Gafsa than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for EGS Gafsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.9%	4.9%	90.2%

Djerba - EGS Gafsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Djerba will win (votes: 2 - 4.9%). Gafsa will win (votes: 37 - 90.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gafsa: 81.1% – 99.3%.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2).

Djerba is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Gafsa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gafsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gafsa is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Djerba won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Djerba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Djerba
Tunisian Ligue 2
21.12.22	Djerba - SS Sfaxien	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	Jeunesse Sportive Omrane - Djerba	2:0 ✺
07.12.22	Djerba - Sporting Ben Arous	0:1 ✺
23.11.22	Djerba - Moknine	0:0 ✺
13.11.22	Kalaâ - Djerba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTT
- EGS Gafsa
Tunisian Ligue 2
25.12.22	EGS Gafsa - Msaken	1:0 ✺
21.12.22	El Makarem de Mahdia - EGS Gafsa	1:2 ✺
11.12.22	EGS Gafsa - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Kalaâ - EGS Gafsa	1:0 ✺
23.11.22	Zarzis - EGS Gafsa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
22.09.19	EGS Gafsa - Djerba	1:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.03.15	EGS Gafsa - Djerba	0:1
13.09.14	Djerba - EGS Gafsa	2:2

Djerba - EGS Gafsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide