Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 25

Date: 9 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Complex Sportif Heremakono (Bamako)


	Djoliba		Real Bamako

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.85	4.33
	1.9	2.88	4.25	Watch
	1.8	2.94	4.72
	1.94	2.8	4.7	Watch
	1.95	2.70	4.00
	1.77	2.98	4.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.25)	2.86 (2.86)	4.5 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djoliba
48.3%

Draw
31.6%

Real Bamako
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djoliba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Djoliba's performance.

Real Bamako has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Bamako might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djoliba than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bamako than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Bamako could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Djoliba - Real Bamako Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Djoliba won 2.

Djoliba is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Real Bamako's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Djoliba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Real Bamako has had a series of home games.

Djoliba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Djoliba won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 0.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Djoliba won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 0.9:0.3).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Djoliba	26	18	5	3	41:12	29	59
3	Real Bamako	26	14	7	5	32:14	18	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djoliba AC
Malian Première Division
05.06.26	Diarra - Djoliba	1:2 ✺
02.06.26	Djoliba - Binga	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Bakaridjan - Djoliba	0:3 ✺
22.05.26	Djoliba - USFAS Bamako	2:1 ✺
Coupe du Mali
17.05.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW
- Real Bamako
Malian Première Division
05.06.26	Real Bamako - Afrique Football Elite	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Korofina - Real Bamako	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Real Bamako - Derby Académie	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Real Bamako - Diarra	2:1 ✺
Coupe du Mali
17.05.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coupe du Mali
17.05.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:1 penalties
Malian Première Division
04.03.26	Real Bamako - Djoliba	1:1
02.02.25	Djoliba - Real Bamako	3:0
02.05.24	Djoliba - Real Bamako	0:1
17.12.23	Real Bamako - Djoliba	0:0
03.06.23	Djoliba - Real Bamako	0:0
19.12.22	Real Bamako - Djoliba	1:1

Djoliba - Real Bamako: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide