Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tele2 Arena (Stockholm) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport
Finland	19:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Poland	18:45	Viaplay
Portugal	17:45	Canal 11, Eleven Sports
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport
Sweden	18:45	TV6, Viaplay


	Djurgården		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.3	2.7
	2.6	3.2	2.7
	2.55	3.3	2.75
	2.65	3.25	2.7
	2.71	3.23	2.82
	2.59	3.3	2.71
	2.7	3.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.38)	3.27 ↑ (3.09)	2.73 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Djurgården
36.1%

Draw
29.1%

Lech Poznań
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

29.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Djurgården has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Lech Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.8%	32.6%	18.6%

Djurgården - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Djurgården will win (votes: 21 - 48.8%). Lech will win (votes: 8 - 18.6%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 32.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 33.9% – 63.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Djurgården has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a small chance of qtrs (8%), a very small chance of semis (2%), a very small chance of final (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lech has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, a good chance of qtrs (92%), a chance of semis (29%), a small chance of final (7%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has quality 45, small importance 25, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Djurgården: Edvardsen V. (Yellow Cards) Kack E. (Injury)

There will not play in Lech: Amaral J. (Injury) Tsitaishvili G. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Djurgården won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgårdens IF
Svenska Cupen
12.03.23	Djurgården - Malmö	3:2 penalties ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Lech Poznań - Djurgården	2:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
04.03.23	Djurgården - Brommapojkarna	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Örebro - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
20.02.23	Djurgården - Landskrona	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
12.03.23	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Lech Poznań - Djurgården	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
03.03.23	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	5:0 ✺
26.02.23	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech Poznań	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.02.23	Lech Poznań - Bodø Glimt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.03.23	Lech Poznań - Djurgården	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.26	Djurgården - Degerfors	✺
28.10.26	IFK Göteborg - Djurgården	✺
- Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.10.26	Lech Poznań - Wisła Kraków	✺
Polish Cup
28.10.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Lech Poznań	✺

Djurgården - Lech Poznań