Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 19

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Poznan (Poznań)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sporty TV
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Lech Poznań		Lechia Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	3.8	Watch
	1.8	3.85	3.7	Watch
	1.85	4.04	4.09
	1.79	4.15	4.05	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.8
	1.82	3.99	3.99	Watch
	1.81	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.7)	3.9 ↓ (3.98)	3.92 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lech Poznań
52.1%

Draw
24%

Lechia Gdańsk
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

23.1%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Lechia (2.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lechia (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Lech (votes: 4 - 40%). Lechia (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Mrozek B. (G) 2. Pereira J. 72. Skrzypczak M. 16. Milic A. 15. Gurgul M. 8. Gholizadeh A. 43. Kozubal A. 24. Jagiello F. 14. Bengtsson L. 9. Ishak M. (C) 99. Rodriguez P.	18. Paulsen A. (C) 33. Wojtowicz T. 4. Pllana B. 80. Rodin M. 27. Vojtko M. 99. Neugebauer T. 5. Zhelizko I. 11. Mena C. 79. Sezonienko K. 8. Cirkovic A. 89. Bobcek T.
Substitutes
7. Agnero Y. 1. Andreev P. (G) 53. Dudek S. 44. Gmur T. 20. Gumny R. 88. Ismaheel T. 27. Monka W. 4. Moutinho J. 77. Palma L. 23. Thordarson G. 10. Walemark P.	21. Glogowski M. 23. Kalahur M. 2. Kludka B. 90. Kurminowski D. 76. Mavraj I. 17. Tsarenko A. 7. Viunnyk B. 1. Weirauch S. (G) 6. Wendt K.
Coaches
Frederiksen N.	Carver J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Neugebauer T. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Gholizadeh A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, Milic A. (Own goal),
55', 1 - 3, Bobcek T. ⚽, Cirkovic A. (A),
63', Jagiello F. ↓, Walemark P. ↑,
63', Bengtsson L. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
63', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
76', Sezonienko K. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
79', Mena C. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
85', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
85', Kozubal A. ↓, Thordarson G. ↑,
88', Cirkovic A. 🟨,
90', Palma L. 🟨,
90+3', Neugebauer T. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lech won 4.

In recent matches, Lechia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lech may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lechia has had a series of home games.

Lech is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lech: Douglas A. (Inactive) Ouma T. (Yellow Cards) Thordarson G. (Injury) Walemark P. (Surgery)

There will not play in Lechia: Kapic R. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lech won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lech won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2:0.7).

Outrights of Polish Ekstraklasa for now

Lech Poznan: 47.5%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Lech Poznan	9	7	1	1	21:8	13	22

Last Results with these Odds

Lechia Gdańsk - the odds 4.03 are the expected chance of winning is 22.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.12.25	Sigma Olomouc - Lech Poznań	1:2 ✺
11.12.25	Lech Poznań - Mainz	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.12.25	Cracovia - Lech Poznań	2:2 ✺
Polish Cup
03.12.25	Piast Gliwice - Lech Poznań	0:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
30.11.25	Wisła Płock - Lech Poznań	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTTWT
- Lechia Gdańsk
Club Friendly
22.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Mladost Lučani	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Lechia Gdańsk - Železničar Pančevo	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
05.12.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze	5:2 ✺
Polish Cup
02.12.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Górnik Zabrze	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
26.07.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	3:4
09.02.25	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	1:0
03.08.24	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	3:1
03.03.23	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	5:0
31.08.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	0:3
20.02.22	Lechia Gdańsk - Lech Poznań	1:0
22.08.21	Lech Poznań - Lechia Gdańsk	2:0

Upcoming Matches