Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 13

Date: 6 November 2023, Monday


	Dnipro-1		Oleksandriya

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.9	6.75
	1.5	3.75	7.5
	1.51	3.98	7.19
	1.52	3.98	7.19
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.51	3.82	6.75	Watch
	1.52	3.75	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.71)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)	7 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
62.5%

Draw
24.2%

Oleksandriya
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

24.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dnipro-1's performance.

Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oleksandriya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dnipro-1 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oleksandriya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Dnipro 1 - Oleksandriya Predictions

Users Predictions: Dnipro-1 will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 9. Gutsulyak O. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 17. Lednev B. 7. Filippov O.	44. Yermakov G. (G) 22. Skorko D. 5. Savchenko R. 18. Loginov S. (C) 30. Kopyna Y. 8. Sigeev K. 71. Shostak D. 55. Smyrnyi E. 23. Geovani 88. Pogorilyi V. 11. Shulyanskyi A.
Substitutes
20. Gorbunov S. 26. Kapliyenko O. 30. Kravets V. 28. Marquinhos 42. Pasich Y. 4. Purita E. 19. Vitinho 33. Yurchuk V. (G)	15. Andreychuk A. 17. Bazaev Y. 13. Boiko A. 1. Dolgyi V. (G) 12. Hernandez J. 33. Juan Alvina 4. Kravchenko A. 14. Kulakovskyi A. 19. Plaksa R. 77. Shevchenko M. (G) 20. Vashchenko D.
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Rotan R.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 1.

Dnipro-1 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Oleksandriya is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Oleksandriya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Dnipro-1 is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Dnipro-1 to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnipro-1 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
01.11.23	Rukh Lviv - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	Kryvbas - Dnipro-1	3:0 ✺
25.10.23	Vorskla Poltava - Dnipro-1	2:3 ✺
22.10.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Dnipro-1 - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WLWWW
- PFC Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Cup
02.11.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	1:0 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
28.10.23	Rukh Lviv - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
21.10.23	Oleksandriya - Kolos Kovalivka	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	LNZ Cherkasy - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Oleksandriya	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
11.05.23	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:1
04.03.23	Oleksandriya - Dnipro-1	2:2
20.11.21	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	3:1
08.03.21	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	0:0
Ukrainian Cup
03.03.21	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:2 penalties
Ukrainian Premier League
26.09.20	Oleksandriya - Dnipro-1	4:1
15.12.19	Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya	1:2

Dnipro-1 - Oleksandriya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide