Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 12

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Kryvbas		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.2
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.08	3.49	2.34
	3.21	3.54	2.22
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	3.14	3.4	2.18	Watch
	3.05	3.35	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.55)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	2.22 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kryvbas
30.6%

Draw
27.3%

Dnipro-1
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kryvbas's form might have worsened.

Dnipro-1 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dnipro-1's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kryvbas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dnipro-1, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kryvbas - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Klishchuk A. (G) 7. Ponedelnik A. 5. Stetskov T. 13. Beskorovaynyi D. (C) 55. Dibango I. 23. Ilic H. 94. Zaderaka M. 11. Tatarkov M. 27. Debelko R. 21. Kuzyk D. 78. Kozhushko O.	12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 5. Sarapiy E. 30. Kravets V. 26. Kapliyenko O. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 9. Gutsulyak O. 8. Pikhalyonok O. (C) 17. Lednev B. 7. Filippov O.
Substitutes
80. Adu P. K. 99. Bliznichenko V. 15. Goncharuk D. 1. Khoma B. (G) 10. Khomchenovskyi D. 14. Lunyov M. 30. Makhankov V. (G) 97. Poe J. 6. Prykhodko K. 2. Ryabov V. 17. Semotyuk V. 18. Ustymenko D.	20. Gorbunov S. 6. Gorin O. 28. Marquinhos 11. Miroshnichenko D. 42. Pasich Y. 4. Purita E. 34. Tanchyk V. 19. Vitinho 33. Yurchuk V. (G)
Coaches
Vernydub Y.	Maksymov Y.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Recent matches Kryvbas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dnipro-1 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dnipro-1 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kryvbas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Kryvbas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kryvbas
Ukrainian Premier League
20.10.23	Kharkiv - Kryvbas	1:3 ✺
08.10.23	Kryvbas - Chornomorets Odesa	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Kryvbas - Rukh Lviv	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
27.09.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Kryvbas	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
23.09.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kryvbas	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLLW
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
25.10.23	Vorskla Poltava - Dnipro-1	2:3 ✺
22.10.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Dnipro-1 - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
02.10.23	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
27.09.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Dnipro-1	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.23	Dnipro-1 - Kryvbas	2:2
Ukrainian Premier League
04.06.23	Dnipro-1 - Kryvbas	1:0
28.11.22	Kryvbas - Dnipro-1	2:1

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