Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Mogilev)


	Dnyapro Mogilev		Volna Pinsk

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.84	4.31
	1.66	3.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.74)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	4.41 ↓ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnyapro Mogilev
54.4%

Draw
25.1%

Volna Pinsk
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.1%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Volna Pinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volna Pinsk than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shapko D. (G) 9. Arkhipov A. 20. Bordukov P. 23. Dunaev A. 5. Elagin K. 29. Kabyshev A. 33. Kapov K. (C) 91. Miroevskiy A. 34. Petrenko A. 8. Usanov A. 71. Zhabrakov D.	31. Letsko S. (G) 77. Gitselev Z. 10. Grechikha M. 15. Kibuk V. (C) 8. Kovalev D. 4. Kuradovets A. 19. Lesnyak D. 91. Matyash D. 17. Polkhovskiy K. 21. Syrisko V. 18. Urbanovich V.
Substitutes
11. Fedosov V. 10. Gurbanov M. 13. Lastochkin A. 1. Sednev N. (G) 89. Sedzich P. 7. Stepanenko V. 66. Tarasenko V. 21. Vershinin G. 35. Veydyger K. (G) 77. Zheleznikov G.	1. Asonov A. (G) 67. Baluk S. 6. Belous A. 7. Kovalevich K. 2. Prokopchuk D. 20. Terletskiy R. 88. Tishurov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Arkhipov A. ⚽, Kabyshev A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Gitselev Z. ↓, Tishurov I. ↑,
61', Arkhipov A. ↓, Fedosov V. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Matyash D. ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Fedosov V. ⚽, Petrenko A. (A),
71', 3 - 1, Kapov K. ⚽, Bordukov P. (A),
72', Dunaev A. ↓, Gurbanov M. ↑,
76', Syrisko V. 🟨,
77', Miroevskiy A. ↓, Lastochkin A. ↑,
80', Grechikha M. ↓, Belous A. ↑,
80', Kibuk V. ↓, Terletskiy R. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Vysshaya Liga and 9).

Dnyapro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Volna Pinsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Volna Pinsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dnyapro is a strong favorite.

We predict that Dnyapro will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dnyapro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
30.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Baranovichi	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Belarus U19 - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:4 ✺
16.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Uni X Labs Minsk	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Osipovichi - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:2 ✺
03.08.25	Dnyapro Mogilev - Niva Dolbizno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Volna Pinsk
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.09.25	Volna Pinsk - BumProm Gomel	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Dinamo Minsk 2 - Volna Pinsk	0:4 ✺
23.08.25	Volna Pinsk - Belshina	3:3 ✺
16.08.25	Slonim - Volna Pinsk	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	Volna Pinsk - Lokomotiv Gomel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.04.23	Dnyapro Mogilev - Volna Pinsk	3:0
17.10.21	Dnyapro Mogilev - Volna Pinsk	3:1
01.08.21	Volna Pinsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:3
10.05.21	Dnyapro Mogilev - Volna Pinsk	1:1
Belarusian Cup
27.07.19	Volna Pinsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:3

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