Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO BAIANO - ROUND 8

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Doce Mel		Bahia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.63
	5.5	3.25	1.6
	4.42	3.47	1.62
	4.75	3.5	1.63
	4.8	3.68	1.65
	4.6	3.7	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.76 ↓ (11.89)	3.52 ↓ (4.98)	1.63 ↑ (1.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Doce Mel
18.9%

Draw
25.6%

Bahia
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.7%

18.4%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doce Mel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Doce Mel's performance.

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Doce Mel - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Doce Mel will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bahia will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Doce Mel: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Doce Mel is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bahia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Doce Mel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Doce Mel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doce Mel EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
07.02.23	Itabuna - Doce Mel	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Doce Mel - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
26.01.23	Vitória Salvador - Doce Mel	3:0 ✺
22.01.23	Doce Mel - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLLT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.23	Bahia - Bahia de Feira	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.02.23	Bahia - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.23	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia	1:2 ✺
29.01.23	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
25.01.23	Jacobinense - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
26.01.22	Bahia - Doce Mel	1:0
24.02.21	Doce Mel - Bahia	0:2
07.03.20	Bahia - Doce Mel	0:0

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