Match Info

Date: 16 March 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Doce Mel		Barcelona de Ilhéus

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Doce Mel
33.1%

Draw
29%

Barcelona de Ilhéus
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

30%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doce Mel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doce Mel than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Barcelona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Doce Mel EC
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
13.03.22	Bahia de Feira - Doce Mel	2:1 ✺
09.03.22	Doce Mel - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
17.02.22	UNIRB - Doce Mel	3:2 ✺
12.02.22	Juazeirense - Doce Mel	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Doce Mel - Vitória da Conquista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 LWLTW
- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
10.03.22	Vitória da Conquista - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
09.02.22	Bahia - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LLTWW

Doce Mel - Barcelona de Ilhéus