Match Info

Date: 10 March 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Vitória da Conquista		Barcelona de Ilhéus

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.9
	3.8	3.1	1.9
	4.2	3.05	1.84
	3.8	3.07	1.86
	3.9	3	1.91
	3.84	3.24	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (2.45)	3.11 ↑ (3.04)	1.89 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vitória da Conquista
23.4%

Draw
29%

Barcelona de Ilhéus
47.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.7%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

24%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vitória da Conquista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vitória da Conquista's form might have worsened.

Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona de Ilhéus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória da Conquista than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vitória da Conquista, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	19.4%	67.7%

Vitória da Conquista - Barcelona de Ilhéus Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Vitória will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Barcelona will win (votes: 21 - 67.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barcelona: 51.2% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Vitória da Conquista is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barcelona is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Barcelona is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitória da Conquista
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
06.03.22	Vitória da Conquista - UNIRB	2:0 ✺
19.02.22	Jacuipense - Vitória da Conquista	3:1 ✺
13.02.22	Vitória da Conquista - Vitória Salvador	0:1 ✺
06.02.22	Doce Mel - Vitória da Conquista	2:0 ✺
30.01.22	Juazeirense - Vitória da Conquista	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLLT
- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
05.03.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia de Feira	1:1 ✺
09.02.22	Bahia - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
05.02.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
27.01.22	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.3 LTWWW

Vitória da Conquista - Barcelona de Ilhéus

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Vitória da Conquista - Barcelona de Ilhéus Predictions

Preview

Form

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