Match Info

Baiano - Round 8

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Cajueiro (Feira de Santana)


	Barcelona de Ilhéus		Juazeirense

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.15
	3.77	2.97	2.13
	3.63	2.84	2.15	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.1
	3.67	2.84	2.1
	3.8	3	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.97)	2.9 ↑ (2.63)	2.13 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona de Ilhéus
25.3%

Draw
31.6%

Juazeirense
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

33.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

33.5%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona de Ilhéus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Juazeirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juazeirense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juazeirense than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juazeirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Barcelona will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Juazeirense will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Antonio (G) 4. Bremer 87. Carlos Richard 6. Elivelton 73. Gianlucas 5. Guimaraes 2. Jeferson Neves 9. Joao Gabriel 11. Kaique 88. Rhuan 3. Vital	1. Pedro Campanelli (G) 20. Anderson 19. Bravo 8. Breno Rayck 7. Bruno Sena 6. Daniel Nazare 15. Douglas Nathan 4. Eduardo Rosado 25. Luan 2. Vitinho 5. Waguinho
Substitutes
33. Edmilson Junior 18. Emerson 7. Guga Freira 10. Hadrian 77. Marcelinho 21. Matheus Bidick 17. Miqueias 8. Nascimento 22. Neto Rocha (G) 16. Queiroz Nascimento P. H. 12. Simoes Viana W. (G) 19. Wesley	22. Arthur Cacule 17. Ceara 23. Italo 11. Jozielson 10. Juninho Tardelli 16. Leandro 18. Marlon Almeida 9. Pardal A. 13. Rafael Mandacaru 21. Silva E. 33. Thiago Santos (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Joao Gabriel 🟨,
8', Douglas Nathan 🟨,
26', Bravo 🟨,
45+1', Guimaraes 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kaique 🟨,
72', Kaique ↓, Emerson ↑,
78', 🟨,
85', Luan ↓, Juninho Tardelli ↑,
89', Carlos Richard ↓, Matheus Bidick ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.

Barcelona is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Juazeirense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juazeirense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.5:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona de Ilhéus
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
11.02.26	Bahia de Feira - Barcelona de Ilhéus	6:1 ✺
01.02.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Vitória Salvador	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:1 ✺
20.01.26	Bahia - Barcelona de Ilhéus	5:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTLT
- SD Juazeirense
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.26	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Juazeirense	1:2 ✺
28.01.26	Juazeirense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Vitória Salvador - Juazeirense	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Juazeirense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
13.07.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense	0:1
04.05.25	Juazeirense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
18.01.25	Juazeirense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:0
17.01.24	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense	0:0
14.01.23	Juazeirense - Barcelona de Ilhéus	0:1
05.02.22	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense	1:0

Barcelona de Ilhéus - Juazeirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide