Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 5

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Jamhuri Stadium (Dodoma)


	Dodoma Jiji		Mtibwa Sugar

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.1	5.15
	1.94	2.64	5.34	Watch
	1.67	3.1	5.61
	1.63	3.05	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.77)	2.97 ↓ (3)	5.34 ↑ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dodoma Jiji
52.5%

Draw
30.5%

Mtibwa Sugar
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

30.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dodoma Jiji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Salim A. (G) 24. Banda A. 12. Galiwango D. 6. Hoza S. 30. Kasanga G. 13. Kimweli S. 21. Kipagwile I. 9. Mgaza Y. . Mwana K. . Never Tigere W. E. 26. Nsata A. (C)	38. Malimi C. (G) . Chukwuemeka C. 13. Datius P. 25. Hillary A. 5. Ibrahim I. 6. Lyawatwa H. 21. Magata F. 19. Marungu O. A. 3. Masai O. G. (C) 17. Msafiri K. 20. Muhenga T.
Substitutes
7. Ambundo D. 38. Hussein M. (G) 53. Kayanda F. 18. Mgore D. (G) 20. Mhilu D. 57. Mwakyembe L. 16. Ngassa B. 2. Peter R. 4. Seif H.	29. Chota G. 8. Ibrahim S. O. 7. Kiziwa N. 15. Kyaruzi E. 27. Manga O. 28. Mayaya O. 11. Mhesa I. 2. Mwashilindi E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Masai O. G. ↓, Kyaruzi E. ↑,
45+1', Chukwuemeka C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Ibrahim S. O. ↑,
60', Mgaza Y. ↓, Kayanda F. ↑,
69', Kipagwile I. ↓, Ngassa B. ↑,
72', Hillary A. ↓, Kiziwa N. ↑,
89', Kasanga G. 🟨,
90+2', Never Tigere W. E. ↓, Jabiri A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dodoma won 0.

Mtibwa Sugar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dodoma is seen as the favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dodoma won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dodoma won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dodoma Jiji FC
Tanzanian Premier League
17.10.25	Singida Fountain Gate - Dodoma Jiji	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Dodoma Jiji - Coastal Union	2:0 ✺
17.09.25	Kinondoni MC - Dodoma Jiji	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Dodoma Jiji - Singida Black Stars	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Azam - Dodoma Jiji	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
19.10.25	Mtibwa Sugar - Coastal Union	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Mtibwa Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mashujaa - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
28.05.24	Singida Black Stars - Mtibwa Sugar	5:1 ✺
20.05.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
27.02.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	0:0
15.09.23	Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1
11.02.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	2:1
25.10.22	Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar	0:1
17.04.22	Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar	1:2
30.10.21	Mtibwa Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	0:1
15.07.21	Dodoma Jiji - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0

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