Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 15

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Manungu Stadium (Turiani)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Mtibwa Sugar		Namungo

	1	X	2
	1.88	2.98	4.15
	1.88	3.03	4.45	Watch
	1.84	2.92	4.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.86)	2.98 ↑ (2.96)	4.42 ↑ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtibwa Sugar
48.8%

Draw
30.6%

Namungo
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

30.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtibwa Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Namungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Mtibwa Sugar (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mtibwa Sugar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Anaikoa C. (G) 20. Chicharo 16. Collins V. 69. Evance F. 25. Hillary A. 6. Lyawatwa H. 21. Magata F. 27. Manga O. 45. Mkopi S. 17. Msafiri K. 12. Nyangi J.	43. Malik M. (G) 60. Kazi H. 10. Kipenye C. 50. Kiswanya A. 26. Luzendaze G. 14. Machela J. 24. Masawe J. (C) 5. Mfuko A. 29. Ngoye F. 6. Rogers G. 12. Swalehe H.
Substitutes
. Aidan I. 29. Chota G. . Datius P. . Deriek . Haji R. 31. Kutisha T. (G) . Laurent A. . Liuzio J. . Marungu O. A. . Masai O. G.	3. Buswita P. C. 21. Chamungu A. R. . Julius 17. Kabunda H. 8. Kikoti L. 19. Makambo H. 7. Manyanya H. 20. Mgunya H. 53. Rajabu K. 18. Said S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Kipenye C. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Mkopi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hillary A. ↓, Mhesa I. ↑,
46', Nyangi J. ↓, Chota G. ↑,
49', Kazi H. 🟨,
71', Manga O. ↓, Datius P. ↑,
71', Mkopi S. ↓, Marungu O. A. ↑,
77', Magata F. ↓, Haji R. ↑,
84', Chota G. 🟨,
87', Masawe J. ↓, Manyanya H. ↑,
87', Ngoye F. ↓, Makambo H. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 0.

Mtibwa Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Mtibwa Sugar is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mtibwa Sugar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
02.02.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Prisons	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Pamba	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Mtibwa Sugar - Mbeya City	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Simba - Mtibwa Sugar	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	JKT Tanzania - Mtibwa Sugar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WWWTT
- Namungo FC
Tanzanian Premier League
04.02.26	Singida Fountain Gate - Namungo	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Namungo - Kinondoni MC	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Namungo - Coastal Union	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Mbeya City - Namungo	0:1 ✺
21.11.25	Namungo - Dodoma Jiji	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
20.05.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	0:0
07.12.23	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
16.12.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	1:1
15.08.22	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	2:2
26.06.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	2:4
06.02.22	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	3:1
12.05.21	Namungo - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0

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