Match Info

Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 4

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Mtibwa Sugar		Coastal Union

	1	X	2
	1.89	2.86	4.68	Watch
	1.82	2.75	5.17
	1.86	2.85	5.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.82)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	5.01 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mtibwa Sugar
49.3%

Draw
32.4%

Coastal Union
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

32.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mtibwa Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Coastal Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Mtibwa Sugar - Coastal Union Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kutisha T. (G) 8. Buzungu O. 20. Chicharo 25. Hillary A. 5. Ibrahim I. 6. Lyawatwa H. 21. Magata F. 27. Manga O. 3. Masai O. G. (C) 17. Msafiri K. 9. Simchimba A.	33. Maseke W. (G) 42. Abdallah S. 26. Aidan R. 13. Kiala L. 10. Makambo A. 16. Manyasi G. 8. Mkandala C. 5. Msangi A. A. 19. Msimu B. (C) 66. Ramadhan A. 63. Said A.
Substitutes
29. Chota G. . Collins F. 13. Datius P. . Dio 7. Kiziwa N. 15. Kyaruzi E. 19. Marungu O. A. 28. Mayaya O. 2. Mwashilindi E. . Tumbagani H.	. Abdallah M. . Andrea M. . Lusato J. . Mohamed H. . Mwalugala E. . Ramadhani C. (G) . Simon G. . Ulaya J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 1.

In this match, Mtibwa Sugar is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mtibwa Sugar won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 0.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Mtibwa Sugar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mtibwa Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
28.09.25	Mtibwa Sugar - Singida Fountain Gate	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Mashujaa - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0 ✺
28.05.24	Singida Black Stars - Mtibwa Sugar	5:1 ✺
20.05.24	Mtibwa Sugar - Namungo	0:0 ✺
09.05.24	Mtibwa Sugar - TRA United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLTW
- Coastal Union
Tanzanian Premier League
27.09.25	Dodoma Jiji - Coastal Union	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Coastal Union - JKT Tanzania	1:2 ✺
17.09.25	Coastal Union - Prisons	1:0 ✺
18.06.25	Coastal Union - Singida Fountain Gate	1:0 ✺
12.05.25	Prisons - Coastal Union	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
24.02.24	Coastal Union - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
20.08.23	Mtibwa Sugar - Coastal Union	1:1
23.04.23	Coastal Union - Mtibwa Sugar	1:0
16.11.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Coastal Union	2:1
15.05.22	Mtibwa Sugar - Coastal Union	0:0
28.12.21	Coastal Union - Mtibwa Sugar	0:1
20.04.21	Coastal Union - Mtibwa Sugar	0:2

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