Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Športni park Domžale (Domžale)


	Domžale		Ilirija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.42	4.2	6
	1.44	4.3	6.13
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.4	4.45	6.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.62)	4.21 ↑ (3.82)	6.12 ↑ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Domžale
63.7%

Draw
21.5%

Ilirija Ljubljana
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

23.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Domžale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Domžale's performance.

Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ilirija Ljubljana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domžale than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Domžale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ilirija Ljubljana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Domžale - Ilirija Ljubljana Predictions

Users Predictions: Domžale will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Domžale is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ilirija is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Domžale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Domžale is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Domžale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Domžale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Domžale
Slovenian PrvaLiga
14.10.22	Domžale - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Tabor Sežana - Domžale	1:1 ✺
01.10.22	Domžale - Mura	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.09.22	Gorica - Domžale	3:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
18.09.22	Celje - Domžale	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTTLL
- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
15.10.22	Primorje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
08.10.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bilje	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Dob - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:4 ✺
24.09.22	Ilirija Ljubljana - Jadran Dekani	0:0 ✺
17.09.22	Beltinci - Ilirija Ljubljana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian Cup
16.09.20	Ilirija Ljubljana - Domžale	0:6
Club Friendly
17.01.18	Domžale - Ilirija Ljubljana	2:2
Slovenian Cup
16.09.15	Ilirija Ljubljana - Domžale	1:3

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