Match Info

SLOVENIA: 2. SNL - Round 26

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina (Ajdovščina)


	Primorje		Ilirija Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.23	6.04
	1.45	4.23	6.04
	1.45	4.16	6.61
	1.45	4.2	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	4.21 ↑ (4.08)	6.12 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primorje
63.2%

Draw
21.8%

Ilirija Ljubljana
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

22.3%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primorje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Ilirija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primorje than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilirija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Primorje - Ilirija Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', 1 - 0, ⚽,
80', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Primorje is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ilirija is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Ilirija have a series of home games.

In this match Primorje is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Primorje won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Primorje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ND Primorje
Slovenian 2 SNL
13.04.24	Bistrica - Primorje	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	Primorje - Krka	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Dravinja - Primorje	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Primorje - Jadran Dekani	4:1 ✺
16.03.24	Nafta - Primorje	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWTWL
- Ilirija Ljubljana
Slovenian 2 SNL
13.04.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Fužinar Ravne	3:1 ✺
07.04.24	Gorica - Ilirija Ljubljana	4:1 ✺
Slovenian Cup
04.04.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Beltinci	1:2 ET ✺
Slovenian 2 SNL
29.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Triglav	1:2 ✺
23.03.24	Ilirija Ljubljana - Bistrica	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 2 SNL
29.09.23	Ilirija Ljubljana - Primorje	0:0
29.04.23	Ilirija Ljubljana - Primorje	1:0
15.10.22	Primorje - Ilirija Ljubljana	0:1
07.05.22	Primorje - Ilirija Ljubljana	3:0
23.10.21	Ilirija Ljubljana - Primorje	0:1

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