Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Don Benito		Jerez

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.15	7.3
	1.36	4.26	8.46
	1.38	4.19	8.03
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.5	3.94	6.74
	1.36	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.39)	4.15 ↑ (4.08)	7.76 ↑ (7.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
66.1%

Draw
22.1%

Jerez
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

22.3%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

21.6%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Don Benito - Jerez Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Rocha H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Don Benito is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jerez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Don Benito has had a series of away games.

In this match, Don Benito is the clear favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Don Benito won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Don Benito won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.25	Santa Amalia - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Azuaga - Don Benito	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Gévora - Don Benito	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Don Benito - Calamonte	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Don Benito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWT
- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.12.25	Jerez - Cabeza del Buey	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Santa Amalia - Jerez	2:2 ✺
16.11.25	Jerez - Llerenense	4:1 ✺
09.11.25	Azuaga - Jerez	3:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jerez - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
21.01.24	Jerez - Don Benito	0:3
10.09.23	Don Benito - Jerez	1:1

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