Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Jerez		Llerenense

	1	X	2
	2.48	3	2.62
	2.37	3.17	2.88
	2.62	3.13	2.63	Watch
	2.42	3.04	2.7
	2.4	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.15)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jerez
37.1%

Draw
29.4%

Llerenense
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

29.1%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.7%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jerez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerez than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Jerez - Llerenense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Roldan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 2 - 0, ⚽,
63', 3 - 0, ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Jerez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Jerez won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Jerez won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jerez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Azuaga - Jerez	3:3 ✺
02.11.25	Jerez - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Gévora - Jerez	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Jerez - Pueblonuevo	5:1 ✺
12.10.25	Calamonte - Jerez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTWT
- AD Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
09.11.25	Badajoz - Llerenense	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Llerenense - Pueblonuevo	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Montijo - Llerenense	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Llerenense - Moralo	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Diocesano - Llerenense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
19.01.25	Jerez - Llerenense	2:1
04.03.23	Llerenense - Jerez	1:1
30.10.22	Jerez - Llerenense	1:3
01.05.22	Llerenense - Jerez	1:1
05.03.22	Llerenense - Jerez	2:1
31.10.21	Jerez - Llerenense	3:0
28.10.20	Jerez - Llerenense	2:0

Jerez - Llerenense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide