Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Puebla de la Calzada		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.25	1.78
	4.34	3.28	1.77
	4.35	3.33	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.35)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla de la Calzada
21.1%

Draw
27.5%

Don Benito
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.2%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

26.7%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla de la Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla de la Calzada than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Puebla de la Calzada - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Sanchez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In recent matches, Puebla has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Don Benito is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Don Benito is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla de la Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.10.25	Santa Amalia - Puebla de la Calzada	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Azuaga	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Gévora - Puebla de la Calzada	2:2 ✺
05.10.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Calamonte	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Jaraíz - Puebla de la Calzada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 TLTWW
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
26.10.25	Don Benito - Jaraíz	2:2 ✺
13.10.25	Don Benito - Villanovense	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Don Benito - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Badajoz - Don Benito	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	Montijo - Don Benito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWWWL

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