Match Info

Date: 14 November 2021, Sunday


	Don Benito		Vélez

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.95	4.33
	1.95	2.8	4.15
	1.76	3.35	4.1
	1.94	3.12	4.37
	1.92	3.22	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.75)	3.09 ↓ (3.32)	4.19 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Don Benito
48.5%

Draw
29.6%

Vélez
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.3%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

18.4%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Vélez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Don Benito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Don Benito - Vélez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Don Benito is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Vélez is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vélez could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Don Benito is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.11.21	Ceuta - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Don Benito - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Las Palmas B - Don Benito	1:4 ✺
17.10.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Villanovense - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTWTW
- Vélez CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.11.21	Vélez - Coria	2:1 ✺
30.10.21	Cadiz CF B - Vélez	0:2 ✺
24.10.21	Vélez - Xerez Deportivo	5:2 ✺
17.10.21	Montijo - Vélez	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Ceuta - Vélez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLL

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