Match Info

Date: 7 November 2021, Sunday


	Ceuta		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.85	2.9
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.39	2.95	2.85
	2.46	2.94	3.15
	2.44	3.08	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.42)	2.96 ↓ (3.04)	2.94 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ceuta
38.1%

Draw
30.8%

Don Benito
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

21.1%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ceuta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ceuta - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

Recent matches Ceuta is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Don Benito is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Ceuta
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.10.21	Coria - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
24.10.21	Ceuta - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
17.10.21	Xerez Deportivo - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Ceuta - Vélez	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Montijo - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWTWL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
31.10.21	Don Benito - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Las Palmas B - Don Benito	1:4 ✺
17.10.21	Don Benito - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
10.10.21	Villanovense - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
03.10.21	Don Benito - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTWT

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