Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 9

Date: 10 June 2023, Saturday


	Dongguan Guanlian		Guangzhou Evergrande

	1	X	2
	1.82	3	4.2
	1.8	3.1	4.4
	1.81	3.1	4.38
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.82	3.28	4.55	Watch
	1.84	3.05	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.53)	3.09 ↑ (2.75)	4.34 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dongguan Guanlian
49.7%

Draw
29.4%

Guangzhou Evergrande
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

33.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

33.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dongguan Guanlian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dongguan Guanlian's performance.

Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Evergrande might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dongguan Guanlian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Evergrande could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Dongguan Guanlian - Guangzhou Evergrande Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Dongguan Guanlian will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dongguan Guanlian: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Fan Jinming (G) 17. Gong Qiule 14. Yao Xilong 21. Cui Xinglong 20. Wang Xingqiang 19. Erlan Ghulaht 23. Loe R. 8. Ruan Jun 7. Tursun Qeyser 10. Onuegbu K. 9. Beshathan Zanhar	32. Huo S. (G) 5. Wang S. 2. Wang W. 34. Hou Yu 17. Liu L. 31. Wang S. 18. Liao Jintao 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 42. Yang H. 29. Zhang D. 7. Qeyyum P.
Substitutes
1. Chen Junxu (G) 5. Chen Zhengfeng 35. He Mingli 30. Huang Chuqi 4. Huang Yuxuan 18. Li Canming 24. Liu Xin 11. Wu Jianfei 25. Yang Yang 36. Zhong Ziqin	4. Chen Q. 16. Fan H. 33. Feng Y. 13. Huang G. 30. Iskandar B. 22. Li J. 28. Ling J. 36. Yang Dejiang 19. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 14. Zhang Z. 3. Zhao W. 20. Zheng S.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14).

Recent matches Dongguan Guanlian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guangzhou Evergrande is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Dongguan Guanlian have a series of guest games.

Dongguan Guanlian will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese Jia League
03.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Dongguan Guanlian	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Dalian Zhixing - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Dandong Tengyue - Dongguan Guanlian	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dongguan Guanlian	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWTTL
- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
04.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
31.05.23	Wuhan Jiangcheng - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
28.05.23	Nanjing City - Guangzhou Evergrande	3:2 ✺
23.05.23	Heilongjiang Ice City - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLLL

Dongguan Guanlian - Guangzhou Evergrande: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide