Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	Yanbian Longding		Dongguan Guanlian

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.1	4.4
	1.75	3	4.8
	1.78	3.24	5.14
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.74	3.34	5
	1.77	3.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.16)	3.16 ↑ (2.9)	4.64 ↑ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
51.4%

Draw
28.9%

Dongguan Guanlian
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

31.8%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanbian Longding's performance.

Dongguan Guanlian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dongguan Guanlian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanbian Longding that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dongguan Guanlian than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dongguan Guanlian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yanbian Longding - Dongguan Guanlian Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Dong Jialin (G) 32. Li Da 31. Qian Changjie 3. Wang Peng 16. Gong Hankui 20. Jin Taiyan 17. Li Shibin 8. Sun Jun 7. Han Guanghui 9. Valdumar 10. Ivo	29. Fan Jinming (G) 17. Gong Qiule 14. Yao Xilong 20. Wang Xingqiang 19. Erlan Ghulaht 4. Huang Yuxuan 21. Cui Xinglong 23. Loe R. 8. Ruan Jun 10. Onuegbu K. 9. Beshathan Zanhar
Substitutes
29. Huang Wei 18. Jin Chengjun 23. Khedrup Lobsang 14. Li Long 37. Lin Taijun 6. Li Qiang 1. Salajidin Akramjan (G) 22. Xu Bo 26. Xu Wenguang 30. Yang Jingfan 27. Zhang Chengmin 11. Zhou Bingxu	1. Chen Junxu (G) 35. He Mingli 30. Huang Chuqi 18. Li Canming 7. Tursun Qeyser 11. Wu Jianfei 25. Yang Yang 36. Zhong Ziqin

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 11).

Yanbian Longding is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dongguan Guanlian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Yanbian Longding have a series of guest games.

In this match Yanbian Longding is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yanbian Longding won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Quanzhou Yassin - Yanbian Longding	1:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:0 ✺
13.05.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Yanbian Longding	0:2 ✺
10.05.23	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWT
- Dongguan Guanlian
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Dalian Zhixing - Dongguan Guanlian	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Dandong Tengyue - Dongguan Guanlian	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dongguan Guanlian	1:0 ✺
10.05.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Jiangxi Lushan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
27.10.22	Dongguan Guanlian - Yanbian Longding	0:2

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