Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	Dorchester Town		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.25	2.35
	2.75	3.19	2.45
	2.72	3.56	2.37	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.38
	2.64	3.28	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.64)	3.28 ↓ (3.53)	2.38 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
34%

Draw
27.7%

Berkhamsted
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

25.9%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

25.4%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Dorchester Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+2%)

Dorchester Town - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, Brooks K. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Haste O. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Harding M. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 3, Blake R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 2 - 3, Landa B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Dorchester has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Berkhamsted is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dorchester won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11:14	-3	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
28.03.26	Walton & Hersham - Dorchester Town	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	2:4 ✺
17.03.26	Farnham Town - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLTT
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
28.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
10.03.26	Berkhamsted - Hanwell Town	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Evesham United - Berkhamsted	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.08.25	Berkhamsted - Dorchester Town	1:0

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