Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Bracknell Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7
	2.18	3.5	2.72
	2.13	3.79	2.84
	2.17	3.91	2.83	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.75
	2.12	3.62	2.83
	2.2	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	3.56 ↓ (3.67)	2.77 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
41.9%

Draw
25.5%

Bracknell Town
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

24.5%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

23.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bracknell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Mazzone J. ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, Gregory A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 2, Robinson W. ⚽,
76', 1 - 3, McDowell J. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Chubinidze G. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 4, McDowell J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 2.

In recent matches, Dorchester has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bracknell has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dorchester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dorchester has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Bracknell	9	3	2	4	11:18	-7	11

Last Results with these Odds

Dorchester Town - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
17.03.26	Farnham Town - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTTLW
- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
14.03.26	Bracknell Town - Gosport Borough	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Gloucester City - Bracknell Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Bracknell Town - Chertsey Town	2:4 ✺
24.02.26	Hungerford Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Hanwell Town - Bracknell Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:2
18.01.25	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:0
09.11.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1
17.02.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:3
14.11.23	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:2
11.03.23	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:0
18.02.23	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:2

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