Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 34

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Dorchester Town		Poole Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.25
	2.72	3.35	2.25
	2.72	3.54	2.3
	2.71	3.72	2.32	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.71	3.4	2.28
	2.96	3.6	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.9)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	2.24 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
33.1%

Draw
26.4%

Poole Town
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

25.1%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

25.6%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Dorchester Town - Poole Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Gwengwe S. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Daws M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 2.

Dorchester is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Poole has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dorchester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dorchester has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 1.1:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poole	10	7	0	3	17:12	5	21

Last Results with these Odds

Poole Town - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.75%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
03.03.26	Chertsey Town - Dorchester Town	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Wimborne Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Tiverton Town - Dorchester Town	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gosport Borough - Dorchester Town	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Dorchester Town - Evesham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWTW
- Poole Town
English Southern League South Division
28.02.26	Poole Town - Gloucester City	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Poole Town - Berkhamsted	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Basingstoke Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Poole Town - Hungerford Town	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Weymouth - Poole Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
14.10.25	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	2:0
21.04.25	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	3:2
26.12.24	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	1:1
26.12.23	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	1:2
28.08.23	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	1:2
10.04.23	Dorchester Town - Poole Town	1:6
26.12.22	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	3:0

Upcoming Matches