Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 26

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Birkenwiese (Dornbirn)

Referee: Talic A. (Aut)


	Dornbirn		Kapfenberger SV

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.85
	2.2	3.6	2.95
	2.42	3.6	2.78
	2.26	3.58	3.05
	2.21	3.53	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.45	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.42)	3.53 ↑ (3.46)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dornbirn
41.6%

Draw
26.4%

Kapfenberger SV
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

27.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

26%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dornbirn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Dornbirn - Kapfenberger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dornbirn will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Kapfenberg will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dornbirn: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Odehnal J. (G) 20. Umjenovic S. 18. William Rodrigues (C) 17. Marte R. 5. Marceta D. 10. Nussbaumer L. 8. Santin S. 22. Gabryel 39. Bitsche N. 27. Mandl F. 92. Fetahu A.	1. Strebinger R. (G) 19. Szerencsi N. 28. Lucho 38. Mandler T. 22. Seidl P. 40. Heindl D. 27. Pichorner C. (C) 5. Miskovic M. 9. Hofleitner A. 32. Haxha F. 20. Tiba
Substitutes
3. Cavafe 15. Mateusinho 14. Mischitz S. 23. Morscher R. (G) 30. Popovic L. 29. Rusch L. 9. Tanque R.	24. Duric S. 30. Kopeinig M. 29. Leimhofer S. 31. Sokcevic A. 25. Steinhuber J. 6. Thalyson 36. Wieser M. (G)
Coaches
Orie E.	Puschl M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Miskovic M. ⚽, Tiba (A),
21', Marte R. 🟨,
27', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
41', Miskovic M. 🟨,
44', Bitsche N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Bitsche N. ↓, Gabryel ↑,
46', Gabryel 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Umjenovic S. (Pen),
64', Marte R. ↓, Mateusinho ↑,
68', William Rodrigues 🟨,
69', Tiba ↓, Leimhofer S. ↑,
69', Miskovic M. ↓, Thalyson ↑,
75', Santin S. ↓, Rusch L. ↑,
75', Gabryel ↓, Popovic L. ↑,
77', Seidl P. ↓, Duric S. ↑,
86', Szerencsi N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Hofleitner A. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Hofleitner A. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 2.

Dornbirn in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kapfenberg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dornbirn will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Dornbirn won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Dornbirn won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dornbirn 1913
Austrian 2 Liga
27.04.24	Sturm Graz B - Dornbirn	2:3 ✺
20.04.24	Stripfing - Dornbirn	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Dornbirn - First Vienna	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Amstetten - Dornbirn	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Dornbirn - Horn	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.9 WTWWW
- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
26.04.24	Kapfenberger SV - Horn	1:3 ✺
19.04.24	Admira - Kapfenberger SV	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Kapfenberger SV - Stripfing	3:1 ✺
05.04.24	Kapfenberger SV - Ried	1:3 ✺
29.03.24	Leoben - Kapfenberger SV	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
21.10.23	Kapfenberger SV - Dornbirn	3:2
06.05.23	Kapfenberger SV - Dornbirn	2:1
09.09.22	Dornbirn - Kapfenberger SV	2:1
19.03.22	Kapfenberger SV - Dornbirn	2:0
27.08.21	Dornbirn - Kapfenberger SV	4:1
16.05.21	Kapfenberger SV - Dornbirn	0:1
23.02.21	Dornbirn - Kapfenberger SV	3:1

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