Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 25

Date: 27 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Merkur-Arena (Graz)

Referee: Leitner F. (Aut)


	Sturm Graz B		Dornbirn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.65
	2.3	3.6	2.8
	2.41	3.7	2.82
	2.41	3.58	2.81
	2.2	3.5	2.7
	2.3	3.62	2.69	Watch
	2.24	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.44)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	2.75 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz B
40.2%

Draw
26%

Dornbirn
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

26.6%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

27.5%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Dornbirn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dornbirn than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Sturm Graz B - Dornbirn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bignetti M. (G) 27. Pirker S. 18. Grube L. 16. Scharmer T. 6. Haider G. 21. Stuckler S. 8. Karner J. 30. Mustafic S. 22. Grgic L. 9. Kiedl P. 29. Stosic N.	1. Odehnal J. (G) 5. Marceta D. 17. Marte R. 18. William Rodrigues 20. Umjenovic S. 8. Santin S. 10. Nussbaumer L. 22. Gabryel 27. Mandl F. 39. Bitsche N. 92. Fetahu A.
Substitutes
43. Hodl J. 10. Ilic A. 15. Krasniqi E. 17. Locker J. 24. Schopp K. 12. Sorg O. 32. Wiener-Pucher C. (G)	3. Cavafe 11. Mayr M. 14. Mischitz S. 23. Morscher R. (G) 30. Popovic L. 29. Rusch L. 9. Tanque R.
Coaches
Saumel J.	Orie E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Haider G. ⚽, Karner J. (A),
4', 2 - 0, Kiedl P. ⚽, Grgic L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Mandl F. ↓, Tanque R. ↑,
46', Karner J. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Fetahu A. ⚽,
57', Haider G. 🟨,
59', Marte R. 🟨,
60', Grube L. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
62', Pirker S. 🟨,
68', Haider G. ↓, Schopp K. ↑,
68', Kiedl P. ↓, Krasniqi E. ↑,
71', Santin S. ↓, Mischitz S. ↑,
77', Schopp K. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Marte R. ⚽, Tanque R. (A),
81', Bitsche N. 🟨,
83', Grgic L. 🟨,
86', 2 - 3, Mustafic S. (Own goal),
90', Mustafic S. ↓, Sorg O. ↑,
90+1', Fetahu A. ↓, Popovic L. ↑,
90+3', Scharmer T. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Sturm Graz B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dornbirn in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sturm Graz B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sturm Graz B won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sturm Graz B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz B
Austrian 2 Liga
19.04.24	Amstetten - Sturm Graz B	1:4 ✺
14.04.24	Sturm Graz B - Horn	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Bregenz - Sturm Graz B	3:3 ✺
31.03.24	Sturm Graz B - Admira	1:3 ✺
16.03.24	Kapfenberger SV - Sturm Graz B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWTLT
- FC Dornbirn 1913
Austrian 2 Liga
20.04.24	Stripfing - Dornbirn	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Dornbirn - First Vienna	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Amstetten - Dornbirn	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Dornbirn - Horn	4:0 ✺
17.03.24	Bregenz - Dornbirn	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
07.10.23	Dornbirn - Sturm Graz B	2:3
12.03.23	Sturm Graz B - Dornbirn	0:4
22.10.22	Dornbirn - Sturm Graz B	3:1

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