Match Info

2. Liga - Round 26

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Alpenstadion (Kapfenberg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Germany	Laola1
Switzerland	LAOLA1


	Kapfenberger SV		Ried

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.1	1.57
	4.9	4.1	1.6
	5.22	4.26	1.58
	5.15	4.07	1.6	Watch
	5	3.8	1.57
	5.05	4.15	1.61	Watch
	4.9	4.1	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↓ (5.24)	4.08 ↓ (4.25)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
18.6%

Draw
22.8%

Ried
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

22%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

21.3%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Ried has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ried than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Kapfenberger SV - Ried Predictions

Users Predictions: Ried will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ried will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Strebinger R. (G) 32. Haxha F. 40. Heindl D. 9. Hofleitner A. 10. Krasniqi B. 24. Lang M. 71. Maier T. 5. Miskovic M. 33. N'Zi O. 20. Prohart F. 3. Romling M.	1. Leitner A. (G) 21. Bumberger D. 28. Eza W. 5. Havenaar N. 26. Mayer J. 17. Pomer P. 8. Rasner M. 18. Rossdorfer F. 23. Sollbauer M. 30. Steurer O. 31. Wohlmuth F.
Substitutes
17. Bochmann J. 34. Kavaz F. 80. Kerschner M. 16. Marinovic A. 28. Mikulic N. 36. Puntigam D. (G) 2. Thonhofer L.	3. Agbenyenu L. 19. Berger D. 43. Celic N. 7. Marinsek N. 16. Sammer B. 29. van Wyk A. 77. Wimmer F. (G)
Coaches
Atalan I.	Senft M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Prohart F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bumberger D. ↓, Agbenyenu L. ↑,
46', Rossdorfer F. ↓, Berger D. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Havenaar N. ⚽, Pomer P. (A),
59', 1 - 1, Hofleitner A. ⚽, Haxha F. (A),
60', Eza W. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Heindl D. ⚽, Miskovic M. (A),
77', Rasner M. ↓, Celic N. ↑,
80', Maier T. ↓, Bochmann J. ↑,
80', Mayer J. ↓, Marinsek N. ↑,
84', Krasniqi B. ↓, Marinovic A. ↑,
88', Haxha F. 🟨,
90', Strebinger R. 🟨,
90+4', Pomer P. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kapfenberg won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match Ried is a favorite.

There will not play in Kapfenberg: Hassler L. (Yellow Cards) Helleparth M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Ried: Bajic A. (Yellow Cards) Grosse M. (Yellow Cards) Sane S. (Ankle Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Kapfenberg won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 16:42 (average 1:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Kapfenberg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:13 (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian 2 Liga
21.04.25	Rapid Wien II - Kapfenberger SV	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Kapfenberger SV - Amstetten	3:2 ✺
11.04.25	Liefering - Kapfenberger SV	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Kapfenberger SV - Lafnitz	6:4 ✺
28.03.25	Austria Lustenau - Kapfenberger SV	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLWW
- SV Ried
Austrian 2 Liga
21.04.25	Ried - Austria Lustenau	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	St. Pölten - Ried	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Rapid Wien II - Ried	0:5 ✺
04.04.25	Ried - Amstetten	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	ASK Voitsberg - Ried	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
25.10.24	Ried - Kapfenberger SV	3:0
05.04.24	Kapfenberger SV - Ried	1:3
17.09.23	Ried - Kapfenberger SV	2:0
14.06.20	Ried - Kapfenberger SV	5:0
30.08.19	Kapfenberger SV - Ried	2:3
08.03.19	Ried - Kapfenberger SV	0:0
11.08.18	Kapfenberger SV - Ried	1:2

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