Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 20

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Buzanszky Jeno Stadion (Dorog)


	Dorogi		Kazincbarcikai

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.3	3.9
	1.82	3.2	4.25
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.78	3.44	4.29
	1.75	3.2	4
	1.68	3.58	4.45
	1.84	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.27)	3.38 ↑ (3.32)	4.09 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorogi
51%

Draw
26.8%

Kazincbarcikai
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

27.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dorogi's performance.

Kazincbarcikai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kazincbarcikai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorogi than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dorogi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kazincbarcikai than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kazincbarcikai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Dorogi - Kazincbarcikai Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dorogi will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Kazincbarcikai will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dorogi: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dorogi won 1.

Recent matches Dorogi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kazincbarcikai is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dorogi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dorogi won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Dorogi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorogi FC
Hungarian NB II
04.12.22	Dorogi - Pecsi	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Ajka - Dorogi	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Dorogi - Tiszakécske	4:2 ✺
09.11.22	Soroksár - Dorogi	2:1 ✺
06.11.22	Dorogi - Siofok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWLL
- Kazincbarcikai
Hungarian NB II
04.12.22	Szentlőrinc - Kazincbarcikai	1:1 ✺
27.11.22	Kazincbarcikai - MTK Budapest	3:3 ✺
13.11.22	Gyirmót - Kazincbarcikai	3:0 ✺
09.11.22	Kazincbarcikai - Szeged 2011	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Kazincbarcikai - Pecsi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
31.07.22	Kazincbarcikai - Dorogi	2:0
21.02.21	Dorogi - Kazincbarcikai	0:0
26.08.20	Kazincbarcikai - Dorogi	1:1
01.12.19	Kazincbarcikai - Dorogi	0:3
24.02.19	Dorogi - Kazincbarcikai	1:2
29.08.18	Kazincbarcikai - Dorogi	1:4
25.03.18	Kazincbarcikai - Dorogi	0:0

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