Match Info

MAURITANIA: Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2024, Friday


	Douanes Nouakchott		Al-Merreikh

	1	X	2
	3.09	3.04	2.29
	3.09	2.99	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.02)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.28 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Douanes Nouakchott
29.6%

Draw
30.3%

Al-Merreikh
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

30.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

31.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Douanes Nouakchott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Douanes Nouakchott's form might have worsened.

Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Merreikh's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douanes Nouakchott, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Merreikh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Douanes Nouakchott - Al Merreikh Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Agab R. (Pen),
12', 1 - 1, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 🟥,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Al-Merreikh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Douanes Nouakchott will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Douanes Nouakchott
Mauritania Ligue 1
30.11.24	Douanes Nouakchott - Inter Nouakchott	0:2 ✺
22.11.24	Pompier - Douanes Nouakchott	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Nouakchott Kings - Douanes Nouakchott	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Douanes Nouakchott	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLTT
- Al-Merreikh
Mauritania Ligue 1
09.12.24	Al-Merreikh - SNIM	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Ksar - Al-Merreikh	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Al-Merreikh - Nouakchott Kings	1:1 ✺
23.10.24	Nouadhibou - Al-Merreikh	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Al-Merreikh - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTL

Douanes Nouakchott - Al-Merreikh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide