Match Info
Ligue 1 - Round 14Date: 23 January 2026, Friday
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Douanes Nouakchott |
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Ksar |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.38 |
4.08 |
7.39 |
|
 |
1.48 |
3.88 |
6.33 |
|
 |
1.4 |
3.6 |
7 |
|
 |
1.37 |
4 |
8.15 |
|
 |
1.37 |
4 |
7.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.38) |
3.91 ↑
(3.9) |
7.27 ↓
(7.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Douanes Nouakchott
64.5% | Draw
23.1% | Ksar
12.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Douanes Nouakchott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Ksar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (-18.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Douanes Nouakchott that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ksar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 44', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 14 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Douanes Nouakchott won 3.Douanes Nouakchott has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Ksar is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).Douanes Nouakchott may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Douanes Nouakchott is the obvious favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Douanes Nouakchott won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Douanes Nouakchott won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Douane | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40:29 | 11 | 45 |
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| 13 | Ksar | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 23:48 | -25 | 17 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Mauritania Ligue 1 | | | 03.10.25 | Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott | 0:2 | | 11.03.25 | Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott | 1:2 | | 02.11.24 | Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar | 0:1 | | 27.04.24 | Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar | 2:2 | | 05.12.23 | Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott | 1:3 | | 21.05.23 | Douanes Nouakchott - Ksar | 1:0 | | 15.12.22 | Ksar - Douanes Nouakchott | 2:1 |
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