The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Douglas Haig 55.3%
Draw 28%
Independiente Chivilcoy 16.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.6%
30.6%
23.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
28.5%
22.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Douglas Haig's performance.
Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Douglas Haig that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente Chivilcoy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perrone F. (G) 8. Castellano J. 3. Cuello L. 11. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez L. 4. Magnago B. 6. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 10. Pereira G. 7. Tus E.
1. Cordero M. (G) 7. Aman Campos F. 9. Benitez B. 11. Borgognoni G. 5. D'Annunzio N. 8. Hernandez Castro T. J. 2. Herrera A. 4. Mast T. 10. Retamozo L. 3. Torres D. 6. Vera A.
Substitutes
17. Arriola C. 12. Auil A. (G) 18. Fiorito S. 14. Ojeda L. 13. Pezzi A. 16. Ponce de Leon M. 20. Reta F. 19. Rosciano L. 15. Seratto R.
13. Acuna L. 19. Berrutti B. 14. Caceres E. 16. Cisnero L. 15. Fernandez G. 12. Ramirez L. (G) 18. Ramirez U. 20. Rodriguez L. 17. Romero F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Palacio J. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Douglas Haig won 1.
Douglas Haig has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Ind Chivilcoy is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Douglas Haig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Douglas Haig will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Douglas Haig won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Douglas Haig won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).