Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: El Coloso (Rafaela)


	9 de Julio		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.05	4.65
	1.7	3.17	5.22
	1.72	3.3	5.45	Watch
	1.73	3	5
	1.7	3.26	5.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.05)	3.16 ↑ (2.95)	5.22 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

9 de Julio
53.3%

Draw
29.1%

Independiente Chivilcoy
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

30.7%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

9 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in 9 de Julio's performance.

Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente Chivilcoy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

9 de Julio - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gomez J. (G) 4. Acuna S. 8. Del Sole N. 2. Ferlini M. 11. Larrea L. 5. Ramirez P. 6. Rossa M. 10. Solari M. 9. Troncoso L. 3. Vanega A. 7. Varela S.	1. Cordero M. (G) 9. Benitez B. 3. Borgognoni G. 5. D'Annunzio N. 8. Hernandez Castro T. J. 4. Herrera A. 7. Mast T. 6. Matera S. 10. Ramirez U. 11. Retamozo L. 2. Vera A.
Substitutes
. Bonilla T. . Bravo N. 15. Ensabella G. 18. Garcia F. 17. Luduena C. . Salvucci J. 20. Sordi R. 14. Uriona M. . Zanoni M. (G)	13. Acuna L. 20. Aman Campos F. . Berrutti B. . Cisnero L. . Elias L. 15. Fernandez G. 77. Pianovi F. . Ramirez Luca 17. Sanchez J. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Troncoso L. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Del Sole N. (Penalty Awarded),
33', 🟨,
37', Varela S. 🟨,
43', Retamozo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Matera S. ↓, Aman Campos F. ↑,
47', Borgognoni G. 🟨,
55', Troncoso L. ↓, Bonilla T. ↑,
62', Retamozo L. ↓, Sanchez J. M. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Aman Campos F. ⚽,
67', Vanega A. ↓, Bravo N. ↑,
67', Larrea L. ↓, Luduena C. ↑,
67', Solari M. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
72', 3 - 1, Bonilla T. ⚽,
74', Vera A. 🟨,
74', Del Sole N. ↓, Ensabella G. ↑,
81', Mast T. 🟨,
81', Hernandez Castro T. J. ↓, Elias L. ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Benitez B. ⚽,

Preview

Ind Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

9 de Julio might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 9 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, 9 de Julio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Independiente Chivilcoy - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.03.26	Sportivo Belgrano - 9 de Julio	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	9 de Julio - General San Martín de Formosa	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	9 de Julio - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWW
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
22.03.26	Independiente Chivilcoy - Atlético Escobar	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Douglas Haig - Independiente Chivilcoy	4:2 ✺
12.09.25	Juventud Antoniana - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0 ✺
01.09.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	1:1
14.06.25	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	2:0
14.04.25	9 de Julio - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:2
13.07.24	Independiente Chivilcoy - 9 de Julio	0:0
15.05.24	9 de Julio - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:0

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