Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 8

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Oscar C. Boero (San Francisco)


	Sportivo Belgrano		Douglas Haig

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.65	2.85
	2.25	2.80	3.10
	2.76	2.73	2.62
	2.26	2.81	3.47	Watch
	2.70	2.70	2.55
	2.48	3.00	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2)	2.78 ↓ (2.95)	2.93 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
36.3%

Draw
32.7%

Douglas Haig
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

32%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Belgrano's form might have worsened.

Douglas Haig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Douglas Haig's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Douglas Haig than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Douglas Haig, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carena J. (G) 2. Beltran C. 4. Borghetto I. 5. Caviglia J. (C) 6. Ferrero G. 10. Franceschi E. 3. Gancedo M. 7. Lehmann A. 9. Mercado E. 11. Pastorelli A. 8. Quaranta M.	1. Ratalin G. (G) 6. Canela N. 8. Castellano J. 11. Cuello L. 7. Gimenez M. 2. Lopez L. 4. Magnago B. 3. Mauri M. 5. Meza B. 9. Palacio J. 10. Pereira G.
Substitutes
19. Bono J. 15. Churchi S. 17. Forlin M. 20. Lesman G. 12. Paccioretti A. (G) 13. Paiz J. 14. Pennesi T. 16. Tarifa G. 18. Zamudio F.	18. Arriola C. 17. Baglivo G. L. 14. Caballo M. 15. Ojeda L. 12. Perrone F. (G) 13. Pezzi A. 19. Rosciano L. 20. Schlotthauer M. 16. Tus E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Palacio J. ⚽,
20', 🟨,
21', 0 - 2, Palacio J. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Magnago B. ⚽,
82', 0 - 4, Pereira G. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 2.

Sportivo Belgrano is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Douglas Haig has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Douglas Haig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sportivo Belgrano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 0.9:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
06.09.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	3:0 ✺
17.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL
- CA Douglas Haig
Argentinian Torneo Federal
30.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sol de América de Formosa	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:1 ✺
12.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Douglas Haig - General San Martín de Formosa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.06.26	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0
17.04.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:1
10.08.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	1:0
18.05.25	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:1
16.03.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	0:0
30.06.24	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0
06.05.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Douglas Haig	1:1

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