Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Fredis Saldívar (Dourados)


	Dourados		Caxias

	1	X	2
	4	2.9	2.1
	3.9	2.65	2.11
	4.52	2.67	2.1
	4.31	2.79	2.11	Watch
	3.9	2.9	2.05
	4.07	2.95	2.14
	3.9	2.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.32)	2.79 ↓ (3.55)	2.1 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dourados
22.7%

Draw
33.2%

Caxias
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

24.8%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dourados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dourados than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dourados - Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe (G) 8. Adson Oliveira 9. Bahia 4. Carlinhos 2. de Souza Junior L. 10. Diego Rosa 11. Flaviano 3. Henrique Alves Reis R. 5. Hippolito 7. Junior Prego 6. Moura T.	32. Victor Golas (G) 3. Alisson 25. Calyson 21. Kelvyn 4. Lucas Cunha 27. Pedro Cuiaba 90. Richard 15. Ronei 10. Tomas Bastos 23. Vinicius Guedes 19. Welder
Substitutes
19. Barcos G. 22. Bruno 16. Gustavo Sapeka 14. Joao Vitor 20. Keslley 21. Philip L. 17. Souza Xavier T. R. 18. Villela I. 12. Ze Augusto (G)	33. Alan 44. Douglas 7. Gabriel Lima 43. Guilherme Mantuan 11. Iago 31. Matheus Silva (G) 77. Nicholas 8. Paulinho Souza 2. Thiago Ennes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Carlinhos 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
59', Richard ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Tomas Bastos (Pen),
69', Welder ↓, Iago ↑,
72', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
74', Diego Rosa ↓, Villela I. ↑,
75', Bahia ↓, Barcos G. ↑,
76', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
79', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Paulinho Souza ↑,
79', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Guilherme Mantuan ↑,
82', Flaviano ↓, Souza Xavier T. R. ↑,
82', Hippolito ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
83', Guilherme Mantuan 🟨,
87', Tomas Bastos 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 2, Tomas Bastos ⚽,

Preview

Dourados is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Caxias is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dourados could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dourados have a series of home games.

In this match Caxias is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dourados AC
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
15.02.25	Dourados - Naviraiense	2:0 ✺
05.02.25	Dourados - Coxim	2:2 ✺
29.01.25	Dourados - Operário MS	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Dourados - Águia Negra	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Pantanal - Dourados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTWWT
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.02.25	Caxias - Internacional RS	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
12.02.25	Guarany de Bagé - Caxias	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Caxias - São Luiz	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Avenida - Caxias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTWW

Dourados - Caxias: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide