Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Dover Athletic		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.55
	5.25	4.2	1.52
	5	4.25	1.52
	5.2	4.2	1.51
	5.54	4.65	1.53
	6	3.9	1.47
	5.75	4.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↑ (5.09)	4.23 ↑ (3.98)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
16.9%

Draw
21.9%

Altrincham
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.2%

23.2%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

23.5%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Dover Athletic - Altrincham Predictions

Users Predictions: Altrincham will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Dover is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dover won 3.

Dover is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Altrincham is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Altrincham have a series of home games.

In this match Altrincham is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dover won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League
26.04.22	Dover Athletic - Notts County	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Chesterfield - Dover Athletic	3:2 ✺
18.04.22	Dover Athletic - Woking	1:4 ✺
15.04.22	Boreham Wood - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Dover Athletic - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 LLLWL
- Altrincham
English National League
23.04.22	Altrincham - Wealdstone	4:2 ✺
18.04.22	Wrexham - Altrincham	4:0 ✺
15.04.22	Altrincham - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Altrincham - Aldershot Town	1:0 ✺
22.03.22	Altrincham - Chesterfield	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
04.09.21	Altrincham - Dover Athletic	3:2
31.10.20	Dover Athletic - Altrincham	0:1
05.04.16	Altrincham - Dover Athletic	1:2
22.08.15	Dover Athletic - Altrincham	2:1
17.03.15	Dover Athletic - Altrincham	2:1
20.12.14	Altrincham - Dover Athletic	2:2

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