Match Info

Date: 26 April 2022, Tuesday


	Dover Athletic		Notts County

	1	X	2
	11	5.75	1.22
	11	6.25	1.22
	10	5.3	1.24
	11	5.8	1.21
	12.93	6.44	1.22
	11	5.25	1.22
	12.75	6.5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.38 ↑ (7.86)	5.9 ↑ (4.78)	1.22 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dover Athletic
8.2%

Draw
15.7%

Notts County
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

19.3%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

19.5%

69.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dover Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dover Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Notts County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.6%	8.5%	72.9%

Dover Athletic - Notts County Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Dover will win (votes: 11 - 18.6%). Notts County will win (votes: 43 - 72.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 61.6% – 84.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Dover is Relegated to

Dover is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Notts County is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dover could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Notts County is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dover won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Dover won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dover Athletic
English National League
23.04.22	Chesterfield - Dover Athletic	3:2 ✺
18.04.22	Dover Athletic - Woking	1:4 ✺
15.04.22	Boreham Wood - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Dover Athletic - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Dover Athletic - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 LLWLT
- Notts County
English National League
23.04.22	Notts County - Weymouth	3:1 ✺
15.04.22	Notts County - King`s Lynn Town	4:1 ✺
09.04.22	Torquay United - Notts County	5:1 ✺
02.04.22	Southend United - Notts County	0:3 ✺
26.03.22	Notts County - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.10.20	Dover Athletic - Notts County	1:0
18.01.20	Notts County - Dover Athletic	0:0
05.10.19	Dover Athletic - Notts County	2:2

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